Tuesday 12 January 2010

Tuesday Night Football

Looking at the FA Cup match between Birmingham and Nottingham Forest Kick Off at 19:45 GMT, one bet stands out to me. Comparing Birmingham's home games with Forest's away matches, 79% of their matches have finished under 2.5 goals.

We can see that neither side likes to give goals away comparing home team form with away team form

Ave Goals Per Match: B'Ham (home): 1.36 / Forest (away): 1.62
Ave Goals Scored: B'Ham (home): 0.82 / Forest (away): 1.00
Ave Goals Conceded: B'Ham (home): 0.55 / Forest (away): 0.62

This looks to me to be a strong statistical pointer to go UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.67 with Blue Square.

The live match on ITV4 tonight is Coventry vs Portsmouth Kick Off at 19:45 GMT

I fancy the Championship side (Coventry) to knock out their Premiership rivals tonight.

Portsmouth have too much on their plate fighting for Premiership survival, currently rock bottom and four points adrift of 19th placed Hull.

They are a team struggling for form and, while Coventry are only sitting mid-table in the Championship, they will see this as an ideal opportunity to claim a Premier League scalp and earn their right to play host to Sunderland in the fourth round.

Coventry to win @ 3.15 with Betfair
.

I will be posting my tennis selections later for the Australian matches.

Good luck

Chad

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